The United States and the European Union’s Influence Policy in Central Asia at the Present Stage: Geopolitical Interests and Interaction Strategies
The article presents an analysis of the goals and approaches of the United States and the European Union in Central Asia in the context of fundamental shifts in the post-Soviet space caused by the beginning of the Special Military Operation of Russia in Ukraine. The study focuses on the consideration of foreign policy concepts, programs and projects proposed to the region in the field of security, socio-economic and cultural-humanitarian spheres. It is concluded that the United States and the EU, seeking to maintain the status of influential geopolitical players and obtain economic and energy benefits, have intensified their activities in Central Asia. The presence of the European Union in the region is based on the instruments of “normative power” implemented through a system of bilateral agreements and multilateral programs. The emphasis is on promoting logistics projects to diversify resource sources, as well as the concept of sustainable development of the region. Unlike the EU, US policy is characterized by less consistency and reactivity aimed at ideological and value confrontation with Beijing and Moscow. The US declaration on the need to strengthen connectivity both within the region and beyond is not supported by proportionate, mutually beneficial projects. Moreover, the policy of sanctions and trade wars conducted by the US towards states adjacent to the region creates significant obstacles to the implementation of many regional initiatives. The current configuration of political forces in Central Asia reflects the aggravation of geopolitical rivalry along the West-East line. As a result, the Central Asian states continue to adhere to a multi-vector foreign policy, striving to preserve sovereignty and develop regional cooperation.
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Kommunikatsionnye rezhimy postsovetskikh stran: reiting druzhestvennosti — 2023: Nauchnyi doklad po rezul'tatam monitoringa kommunikatsionnykh rezhimov postsovetskikh stran / Pod nauch. red. V.V. Komlevoi. M.: Natsional'nyi issledovatel'skii institut razvitiia kommunikatsiĭ, 2024.
Morozov M.K. Transformatsiia vneshnei politiki ES kak tsentra politsentrichnogo mira v period ukrainskogo krizisa // Vlast'. 2023. № 2. S. 232–240.
Pritchin S. «Bol'shaia igra 2.0» v Tsentral'noi Azii na sovremennom etape // Mirovaia ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniia. 2022. T. 66. № 6. S. 112–123.
Prokhorenko I.L. Novaia strategiia Evropeiskogo soiuza v Tsentral'noi Azii: vozmozhnosti i predely «miagkoi sily» // Analiz i prognoz. Zhurnal IMEMO RAN. 2019. № 4. S. 68–80.
Starr F. Partnerstvo dlia Tsentral'noi Azii // Rossiia v global'noi politike. 2005. T. 3. № 4. S. 72–87.
Sutyrin V.V. Za predelami «miagkoi sily»: gumanitarnoe vliianie i sotrudnichestvo vo vneshnei politike // Mezhdunarodnaia zhizn'. 2020. № 9. C. 44–57.
Sutyrin V.V. Peresborka postsovetskoi Evrazii: liderskii potentsial Rossii v usloviiakh vneshnego davleniia // Rossiia i mir: nauchnyi dialog. 2024. № 3. S. 22–33.
Andersone L. EU Cooperation Programmes for Central Asia: New Challenges and Responses // Studia Europejskie = Studies in European Affairs. 2024. Vol. 28. No. 1. P. 247–260.
Bossuyt F. Key Turning Points in EU–Central Asia Relations // The EU as an Actor in Central Asia: External Impacts, Regional Responses / Eds. S. Mayer, J. Lempp. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, 2023. P. 35–52.
Davis I., Webb W. Sustainable Debt Slavery // Unlimited Hangout. 2022. September 13. URL: https://unlimitedhangout.com/2022/09/investigative-reports/sustainable-debt-slavery/
Laruelle М., McGlinchey Е. Renewing EU and US Soft Power in Central Asia. Groningen: Europe — Central Asia Monitoring, 2017. URL: https://eucentralasia.eu/download/1313/?tmstv=1765613988
Mackinder H. J. The Geographical Pivot of History // The Geographical Journal. 1904. Vol. 23. No. 4. P. 421–437.
Makoveeva Z. Navigating the Aftermath: U.S. Policy in Afghanistan Following Troop Withdrawal // MGIMO Review of International Relations. 2023. Vol. 16. No. 4. P. 56–71.
Nye J. Soft Power and Great-Power Competition: Shifting Sands in the Balance of Power Between the United States and China. Cambridge: Springer, 2023.
Pepe J.M. Central Asia in a Multipolar World: Internal Change, External Actors, Regional Cooperation // Central Asia in a Multipolar World: Contributions to Political Science / Eds. J. Lempp, S. Mayer. Cham: Springer, 2024. P. 253–277.
Safranchuk I.A., Zhornist V.M., Nesmashnyi A.D., Chernov D.N. The Dilemma of Middlepowermanship in Central Asia: Prospects for Hegemony // Russia in Global Affairs. 2022. Vol. 20. No. 3. P. 116–133.
Starr S.F. U.S. Policy in Central Asia through Central Asian Eyes. Washington: Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and Silk Road Studies Program, 2023. URL: https://www.silkroadstudies.org/resources/230504-SRP-Fred-full.pdf
Keywords: Central Asia; USA; European Union; Russia; cultural and humanitarian influence; geopolitical rivalry; sustainable development; soft power; post-Soviet space
DOI Number: 10.55959/MSU0868-4871-12- 2025-3-3-114-136
Available in the on-line version with: 04.03.2026
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